Brent Crude Oil
Introduction
Crude oil is used to meet more than 60% of
the global energy needs today. Almost all industries are dependent either
directly or otherwise on crude oil and its refined products like petrol,
diesel, lubricants, heating oil, aviation gasoline, asphalt, lubricating
oils etc. Most of the world's crude oil reserves are found in the Middle
East, Africa, Eastern Europe and Central America. The Middle East has around
65% of the world's crude oil reserves. Different oil-producing areas yield
significantly different varieties of crude oil. Annexure 1 gives the
statistics for the world crude oil demand.
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), an organization of
eleven developing countries that are heavily dependent on oil revenues for
their income, controls almost 40% of the world's crude oil. The OPEC
accounts for about 75 per cent of the world's proven oil reserves. OPEC
exports represent 55 per cent of the oil traded internationally. The current
Members of OPEC are Algeria, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria,
Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela.
Crude oil prices have always been highly volatile due to various factors
which affect the supply and demand of crude oil. The factors which influence
the supply of crude oil are OPEC output and supply, terrorism,
weather/storms, fires in refineries and well heads, war and any other
unforeseen geopolitical factors that causes supply disruptions especially in
the Middle East. The factors which affect the demand of crude oil are global
demand particularly from emerging nations, economic cycles ,fluctuations in
the value of the Dollar vis-à-vis other currencies, strategic storage
of crude oil by countries, expected weather conditions etc.
Grades of Crude Oil
The color, composition and the consistency
of the crude depend on the mixture of hydrocarbon molecules. The words "light"
and "heavy" describe a crude oil's density and its resistance to
flow (viscosity). Those crude which are low in metals and sulfur content,
light in color and consistency, and flow easily, are known as "light."
Less expensive, low-grade crude oils, which are higher in metals and sulfur
content, and must be heated to become fluid, are known as "heavy."
The term "sweet" is used to describe crude oil that is low in
malodorous sulfur compounds such as hydrogen sulfide and mercaptans, and the
term "sour" is used to describe crude oil containing high
malodorous sulfur compounds.
North Sea Crudes
The main North Sea Crude Grades are Brent,
Forties, Osberg, North Sea Basket, Ekofisk, Statfjord and Flotta. Of these
crudes the Brent Crude Oil with API gravity estimated at 38.5 degrees and a
Sulphur content of 0.36% is used as a bench mark of European crudes. The
physical Brent Crude oil represents commingled crude from the Brent and
Ninian systems, slated to load at the Sullom Voe terminal.
West African Crudes
The main grades of West African Crudes are
Bonny Light, Qua Iboe, Brass River, Escravos, Forcados and Cabinda. Bonny
Light produced mainly in Nigeria has APi gravity of 35 degrees and the
Sulphur content is 0.2%.
Persian Gulf Crudes
The Persian Gulf grades consist of Dubai
and Oman assessments, Murban, Lower Zakum, Qatar Land, Qatar marine and
Banoco Arab Medium. The main grade is the Dubai and Oman assessments with
API gravity of 37 degrees and a Sulphur content of 1.08%. This is a heavy
crude.
Asia Pacific
The main grades of Asia Pacific crudes are
Tapis, Belinda, Cossack, Jabiru, North West Shelf, Miri etc
United States Crudes
The main grades of crude are West Texas
Intermediate (WTI), Mars MOC and Mars, P-Plus WTI, WTI Calendar Delta, West
Texas Sour(WTS), Light Louisiana Sweet(LLS),Heavy Louisiana Sweet(HLS),
Engene Island, Wyoming Sweet, Bonito, Mars, Poseidon, Basrah Light, Alaska
North Slope(ANS), Line 63, P-Plus Line 63, Thums, Kern River. West Texas
Intermediate's API gravity is 39.6 degrees, and has 0.24 percent of sulfur.
Indian Crude Oil Scenario
India is the sixth largest consumer of
oil. Crude and related products account for 30% of India's total energy
consumption. Current consumption of oil amounts to 2.43 million bbl/day and
only around 30% of this demand is met by indigenous production. The
remaining 70% of crude oil is being imported. . Crude oil imports to India
comprise of the Oman-Dubai sour grade crude, Brent dated sweet crude and
also large quantities of Bonny light crude. The Indian import crude basket
consists of the Oman-Dubai sour grade crude and Brent dated sweet crude in
the ratio 57:42.
Annexure 2 gives statistics of India's crude oil and products imports and
exports
| Particulars |
2003 |
2004 |
2Q04 |
3Q04 |
4Q04 |
1Q05 |
Feb
05 |
Mar
05 |
Apr
05* |
Latest
Month Vs. |
| Mar 05 |
Apr 04 |
| Net
Imports/(Exports) of: |
| Crude Oil |
1863 |
1945 |
2090 |
2013 |
1742 |
1969 |
1827 |
2017 |
1887 |
-130 |
152 |
| (By Public Oil Cos.) |
1243 |
1158 |
1312 |
1214 |
1000 |
1133 |
1100 |
1147 |
1099 |
-48 |
-71 |
| Products & Feedstocks |
-152 |
-176 |
-173 |
-178 |
-222 |
-82 |
-75 |
-36 |
-110 |
-74 |
33 |
| Gasoil/Diesel |
-119 |
-139 |
-135 |
-122 |
-162 |
-89 |
-102 |
-32 |
-121 |
-89 |
36 |
| Gasoline |
-72 |
-75 |
-67 |
-75 |
-80 |
-53 |
-23 |
-62 |
-24 |
38 |
39 |
| Heavy Fuel Oil |
5 |
-6 |
13 |
-5 |
-20 |
-4 |
-7 |
-3 |
-7 |
-4 |
-42 |
| LPG |
55 |
86 |
39 |
86 |
128 |
95 |
95 |
82 |
70 |
-12 |
27 |
| Naphtha |
-1 |
-7 |
10 |
-29 |
-25 |
-15 |
-41 |
17 |
-32 |
-48 |
-50 |
| Jet & Kerosene |
-22 |
-47 |
-44 |
-43 |
-74 |
-34 |
-21 |
-49 |
-11 |
37 |
22 |
| Other |
1 |
12 |
12 |
9 |
12 |
17 |
25 |
11 |
14 |
3 |
1 |
| Total |
1712 |
1769 |
1917 |
1834 |
1520 |
1887 |
1752 |
1981 |
1777 |
-204 |
185 |
* Preliminary
Sources: Indian Ministry of Commerce, Indian Port Authorities and IEA
Estimates |
Domestic Production and Imports
The majority of India's roughly 5.4
billion barrels in oil reserves are located in the Mumbai High, Upper Assam,
Cambay, Krishna-Godavari, and Cauvery basins. The offshore Mumbai High field
is by far India's largest producing field, with current output of around
260,000 barrels per day. India's average crude oil production for 2003 was
0.66 million barrel per day. India had net oil imports of over 1.4 million
barrel per day in 2003.
Despite the marginal increase in the domestic production of crude oil in
2004-2005, India's crude oil imports have risen by five percent to 95.315
million tonnes during the same period. Crude oil imports rose from just over
90 million tonnes in 2003-04 to 95.314 million tonnes in 2004-05.Total
domestic production of crude oil during 2004-05 was 34.05 million tonnes as
against 33.37 million tonnes in the previous financial year. Recent
Government estimates put India's oil demand for the year 2004-2005 at 111.9
million tonnes, a 4.2% increase over last year's demand. India's oil
consumption is expected to grow rapidly to atleast 3 mn b/d by 2007 and 3.2
mn b/d by 2008. With the flat or lower domestic output which is plagued by
low recovery rates, the import requirements will more than double. India
imports crude oil from countries like Venezuela, Nigeria, Sudan, Iran and
Kuwait.
Refining Sector
With the exception of Reliance India Ltd's
refinery at Jamnagar (Gujarat) and Essar Oil Refinery the other refineries
in India are under the public sector companies like Indian Oil Corporation ,
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd.,
Mangalore Refineries and Petrochemicals Ltd. etc. Indian Oil Corporation
(IOC) has got refineries in Guwahati, Barauni, Koyali, Haldia, Mathura,
Digboi and Panipat. Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL)
refineries are in Mumbai and Visakhpattanam. Bharat Petroleum Corporation
Limited's (BPCL) refinery is in Mumbai. The refinery of Mangalore Refineries
and Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) is located in Mangalore. The Government is
considering giving the boards of IOC and Oil India Ltd powers similar to
that of OVL (ONGC Videsh Limited) for projects jointly undertaken, which
will allow them to approve overseas projects involving investments up to $70
million or Rs 300 crore, whichever is less.
The Need for a Futures Contract in Brent Crude Oil
According to latest estimates India
imports nearly 76% of its crude oil requirement. The crude oil import bill
has risen by over 40% in the year 2004-05. Coupled with this is the oil
companies' constraint of increasing domestic oil prices due to inflationary
fears.
This makes it vital for the oil companies to have a mechanism where they
can hedge their price risk. The rationale for introducing a domestic Brent
crude oil contract can be stated as follows:
- The pricing of domestic crude procured by oil refiners through
ONGC is linked to West African Crude Bonny Light whose price is
based on Brent. The payment for this crude is in Indian Rupees and
therefore a rupee denominated contract is ideal for the following
category of corporates:
- Producers of Crude Oil (ONGC, OIL etc) : They can hedge
their revenues thereby bringing in certainty in their cash
flows and provide stable earnings.
- Oil Refiners (IOC, HPCL, BPCL, MRPL, RIL etc): Since a
substantial part of their crude procurement is domestic
these companies can easily hedge their input costs based on
the Brent Rupee contract. This is especially important when
they cannot freely price their refined products in the
domestic market.
|
- Indian corporates have a significant exposure to energy costs.
They cannot hedge this price risks in international exchanges since
they do not have any physical (import) exposure due to RBI
regulations. Their energy costs are highly correlated with crude
prices. Therefore a crude contract on a domestic exchange would help
them to significantly hedge their energy costs.
- Other Indian manufacturing companies like petrochemicals,
plastics, textiles etc whose final product prices are highly
correlated with crude oil prices .These companies can use this Brent
Contract to hedge their revenues/ output costs.
- Since India has a very small share in the international crude
market (around 3%) the price discovery of crude can only take place
internationally and therefore the need for a global benchmark.
- Internationally an overwhelming majority of crude varieties are
priced on Brent which makes it a dominant benchmark across the
world. India's crude import basket is also 42% Brent related. Hence
the need for a Brent Crude Contract.
|
Brent Crude Oil Contract Specification
| Type
of Contract |
Futures Contract
Specifications |
| Name of Commodity |
Brent Crude Oil |
| Ticker Symbol |
CRDBRTSMV |
| Trading System |
NCDEX Trading System |
| Unit of Trading |
100 Barrels |
| Delivery Unit |
50,000 Barrels |
| Quotation/Base Value |
Rs Per Barrel* |
| Basis |
Sultom Voe, Shotland Islands,
United Kingdom exclusive of all levels and taxes. |
| Tick Size |
Rs. 0.50 |
| Quality Specification |
| Crude Type |
API Gravity |
Sulphur Content |
| Brent |
39.5 Degrees |
0.36% |
|
| Also Deliverable |
| Crude Type |
API Gravity |
Sulphur Content |
| Forties |
41.5-42.5 Degrees |
0.25-0.3% |
| Osberg |
35.9 Degrees |
0.32% |
|
| Quantity Variation |
+/- 1% by Volume |
| Delivery Center |
Mumbai Port/JNPT
The Buyer will be reaponsible for the Frieght Cost, Insurance, Import
Duty and All Other Taxes & Levels on Actual Basis to bring the Cargo
to Mumbai. Frieght and Insurance will be paid on Actual Basis on
Production of Satisfactory Documentary Evidence from the Seller. |
| Trading Hours |
As per Directions of the Forward
Markets Commission from time to time, Currently (With Effect From May
16, 2005)-
Mondays through Fridays: 10:00a.m. to 11:30p.m.
Saturdays: 10:00a.m. to 2:00p.m.
The Exchange may vary the above timing with due notice. |
| Delivery Specification |
The Buyers and Seller shall give
Intentions of Delivery/Receipt through the Delivery Request Window
during Last Three Trading Days including the day of Expiry of the
Contract. This will be matched by the Exchange for Physical Delivery. |
| Opening of Contracts |
The first set of Contracts will be
launched immediately after Approval of the Forward Markets Commission.
New Contracts would open as per schedule given in Exhibit 2. |
| Due Date/Expiry Date |
As per Exhibit 2 |
| Closing of Contract |
All Open Positions for which
delivery Intentions have not been received or for which Delivery
Intentions have been rendered but remain unmatched for want of
Counterparty to settle Delivery, will be cash settled at Final
Settlement Price on the Expiry of the Contract. |
| No. of Active Contracts |
Three Consecutive Months Running
Concurrently. |
| Price Limit |
Limit of 6% |
| Position Limits |
6,00,000 Barrels for Member
1,50,000 Barrels for Client |
| Special Margin |
Special Margin or 5% of the Value
of the contract will be applied whenever the rise or fall in price from
the first day's price is 20%. This is payable by buyer or seller
depending on whether prices rise or fall respectively. The margins shall
stay in force so long as price stays beyond the 20% limit and will be
withdrawn as soon as the price is within the 20% band. |
| Quality Margin |
No Variation Allowed |
| *1 Barrel = 42 US Gallons = 158.98 Litres. |
Schedule of the Opening Date and Expiry
Date of Trading on Crude Oil Futures contracts
| Opening Date |
Expiry Date |
| 17-Jan-06 |
12-Apr-06 |
| 14-Feb-06 |
16-May-06 |
| 17-Mar-06 |
15-Jun-06 |
| 13-Apr-06 |
14-Jul-06 |
| 17-May-06 |
16-Aug-06 |
| 16-Jun-06 |
14-Sep-06 |
| 15-Jul-06 |
16-Oct-06 |
Note: Each Contract would run for a period
of three months. On expiry of a near month contract a new far month contract
would be introduced the next trading day.